Photo by Ellen Miller

Sunday, October 14, 2012

Oregon's 2012 Wildfires: Predictable and Preventable


Waterfalls 2 Burnout, Warm Springs Indian Reservation, Oregon, August 25, 2012. (Photo by Gary Sampson, Jr., Inciweb).
Oregon's 2012 Wildfires: Predictable and Preventable
This is the fourth, and final, of a series of four articles published in Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal during 2012. The series was specific to the prediction and mitigation of forest and prairie wildfires in Oregon, but has general application for most forests and grassslands in the western U.S. -- particularly those lands managed by the federal government. The other three articles in the series (the first is actually a short introductory editorial), and an earlier article I coauthored regarding Wildfire Economics (which is directly referenced in the introduction to this series), are linked in the table below.
This article was published in the Fall of 2012, by Cristy Rein, long-time editor and publisher of Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal. The Journal doesn't publish an online version of their magazine for business and advertising reasons, but have a focused distribution of 10,000; including all members of Congress and 1,000 doctors, lawyers, and business waiting rooms across rural Oregon. The large number of loyal advertisers are heavily represented by family-owned logging, trucking, sawmilling, nursery, landscaping, and construction businesses.
To contact Cristy Rein or Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal, go to: www.oregonfishandwildlifejournal.com/
Reference: Zybach, Bob 2012c. "Oregon's 2012 Wildfires: Predictable and Preventable," Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal, Vol. 34, No. 4: 7-17. [PDF_2.2_MB].

Zybach, Bob 2012. "My Voice,Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal, Vol. 34, No. 1: 5. [PDF_1.7 MB].
Zybach, Bob 2012a. "Forest Restoration: Problems and Opportunities,"Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal, Vol. 34, No. 2: 15-27. [PDF_1.3_mb].
Zybach, Bob 2012b. "Predicting Oregon's 2012 Major Wildfire Events,"Oregon Fish & Wildlife Journal, Vol. 34, No. 3: 29-39. [PDF_881_KB].
Zybach, Bob, Michael Dubrasich, Gregory Brenner, and John Marker 2009a. U.S. Wildfire Cost-Plus-Loss Economics Project: The 'One-Pager' Checklist (online version). USDA Wildfire Lessons Learned Center: 9 pp. [PDF_280_kb].



Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Oregon forest sector poised to rebound



Oregon forest sector poised to rebound
 October 10, 2012

PORTLAND, Ore. – Oregon’s forest sector remains a resilient and vital contributor to Oregon’s economy, according to a comprehensive economic study published today by the Oregon Forest Resources Institute. The sector could create thousands of new rural jobs, given the right market conditions and a dependable supply of raw material.

Even as the nation emerges from the Great Recession, one in 20 Oregon jobs depends on active management of forests and the manufacturing of forest products – some 76,000 people. Total annual sector wages were $5.2 billion in Oregon in 2011, according to the study. An additional 37,000 Oregonians are at work supplying and servicing the sector.

The sector’s overall impact on the state’s economy last year was $12.7 billion – nearly 7 percent of the state’s economic base. That wealth was brought to the state as the sector supplied lumber and finished products, such as doors and windows, to a flagging U.S. housing sector that peaked at 2.3 million housing starts in 2006 and plummeted to 478,000 in 2009.

“The U.S. housing market has not rebounded as quickly as it typically does after recession,” said Tom Potiowsky, director of the Northwest Economic Research Center at Portland State University, and a member of the team that collaborated on the report. “But housing starts nationally are on the rise, and this is a good sign for Oregon – especially our rural areas.”

The report sounds a note of caution, calling for a high-level review of federal forest policies that have reduced harvest from public lands to record lows. This lack of harvest, combined with a century of fire suppression, has created unnatural conditions in the federal forests. They are ripe for insect infestation and catastrophic fire. If the federal forest health crisis is not addressed, Oregon could experience more mill closures, as well as the kind of wildfire disasters seen in other Western states, the report states.

“The report recommends solutions that balance the economic benefits of sustainable timber harvest with the dividends of healthy forest ecosystems,” said Paul Barnum, OFRI executive director. “It points out that Oregon's policies and laws are doing a good job of protecting the forest resource. Finally, it notes that through collaborative efforts, we can act to improve the health of federal forests in Oregon. This is especially good news for our state's rural, natural resource-based economies,” Barnum said.

According to the report, the number of forested acres in Oregon has remained nearly constant over the past 30 years. The report states the Oregon Forest Practices Act, which regulates logging on private land, is effective. It also says that the state’s unique system of land use laws and comprehensive planning practices have successfully steered development away from forestland. Across all ownerships, standing timber volume is about the same as it was in 1953, and trend data shows that timber volume is increasing.

The 2012 Forest Report – An Economic Assessment of Oregon’s Forest and Wood Products Manufacturing Sector” updates a similar study by OFRI in 2004. The current report provides a snapshot of the forest sector’s status and capacity. It examines the sector’s supply and demand factors, as well as its operating environment. The report makes five recommendations:

·       Reshape federal policies for federally managed forests – Current policies evolved from controversy and litigation, not sound forestry. Without a stable, dependable supply of public timber, more mills will close and forest health will continue to decline.
·       Pursue markets overseas – A consortium of state and industry leaders could create momentum for finished wood products that would benefit the sector throughout the state.
·       Defend Oregon’s Forest Practices Act – The Oregon’s Forest Practices Act works. It keeps forests healthy and timber flowing, which encourages private forest ownership and stewardship. Changes to regulations should be based on science and local conditions, not on political compromise.
·       Keep the forest sector a priority – The forest sector can continue being a significant part of Oregon’s economy, especially in rural areas. Keeping it a state priority encourages investment in mills and other infrastructure.
·       Develop “ecosystem services” – State leaders can address how to monetize ecosystem services such as wetland mitigation banks, biodiversity, cold water production and carbon sequestration.

At nearly 200 pages, The 2012 Forest Report is the most exhaustive look at the forest sector in nearly a decade. A summary of the report is available at TheForestReport.org, and the full report can be downloaded from the website.

A dozen researchers from five firms collaborated on The 2012 Forest Report. The Portland-based consultancy Mason, Bruce & Girard led the effort with help from Forest Econ, Inc., Moscow, Idaho; The Northwest Economic Research Center, Portland State University; the Department of Forest Engineering, Resources and Management, College of Forestry, Oregon State University; and the Beck Group, also in Portland.

OFRI was created in 1991 by the Oregon Legislature to improve public understanding of the state’s forest resources and encourage environmentally sound forest management through landowner education. It is governed by a 13-member board of directors and funded by a dedicated tax on timber harvest.

Contact: Dave Kvamme – 503-805-0857

Aiming to boost timber products Kitzhaber orders state to feature wood in two construction projects


By Dylan J. Darling / The Bulletin
Published: October 09. 2012 4:00AM PST

SUNRIVER — Gov. John Kitzhaber is ordering the agency in charge of state office buildings to find a pair of construction projects to highlight the possibilities of building with wood.
“In this my hope is to add value to wood products here in the state," he said.

Kitzhaber announced the executive order Monday morning at the annual meeting of the Oregon Forest Industries Council, a trade association of forestland owners and timber product companies, in Sunriver. About 150 people were in the room.

The order calls for the Oregon Department of Administrative Services, which oversees the construction and maintenance of state buildings, to find at least two construction projects that can be improved by featuring wood products.

It also tasks the department with considering wood in all new construction and renovations, said Scott Nelson, jobs and economy policy adviser for the governor.

“Wood hasn’t been used as much as it could be in the U.S. in nonresidential construction," he said by phone Monday. “This is a way to pilot that concept."

Increased interest in wood for commercial building would bring welcome demand for wood products, said Ralph Saperstein, public policy specialist for Boise Cascade. The Boise-based company operates mills in Southern and Northeastern Oregon.

“What better way to show off the wood products we have in Oregon than to have our state build buildings out of wood," said Saperstein, who was at the meeting in Sunriver.

While concrete and steel have traditionally been used for big buildings — mid-rises of four to six stories and high-rises of seven stories and up — new products make it possible to make those out of wood, said Bryan Schuyler, western regional director for Woodworks for Non-Residential Construction, a California-based organization.

“We can build those buildings out of wood," said Schuyler, who was at the Sunriver meeting.
Kitzhaber also ordered the Oregon Business Development Department to devise a strategy to speed up development and selling of new wood products and put together a plan to increase the market for Oregon wood products.

Nelson said there are potential markets for Oregon wood products all over the world.
“Asia could be a big market for our finished products," he said.

Since the federal listing of the spotted owl as a threatened species in 1990, the state’s timber industry has all but disappeared as the amount of harvest on federally managed land dropped drastically. But Kitzhaber said Monday he thinks there is a chance for a revival. To accomplish this, he said, the industry should focus on projects aimed at thinning forests and lowering the risk and effects of wildfire. And it should work in collaboratives — groups composed of local, state and federal leaders, as well as environmental groups — to avoid lawsuits.

“We have a remarkable opportunity to turn things around," he said.

Thursday, October 4, 2012

Conservation leader bolts from Kitzhaber's county payments panel

Conservation leader bolts from Kitzhaber's county payments panel


Published: Thursday, October 04, 2012, 4:38 PM     Updated: Thursday, October 04, 2012, 4:54 PM

Timber_Plan.jpgView full sizeThe fight to replace county timber payments with a plan that would increase logging on some federal land has triggered controversy.
WASHINGTON – Gov. John Kitzhaber’s delicate effort to reachagreement for replacing the county timber payments program hit a bump Thursday when the leader of one conservation group refused to participate, denouncing it as an “effort to apply lipstick to a pig.”
    
The blast came from Andy Kerr, a well-known Oregon conservationist who Kitzhaber invited to join a panel of other environmentalists, county officials and timber interests to write a plan for using federal forests controlled by the Bureau of Land Management to fund payments to counties.
    
In a letter to Kitzhaber, however, Kerr declined, saying the starting point was fatally flawed because it would allow “clear cutting” on some federal land.
    
“I felt that the Governor’s necessary precondition of supporting clear-cutting as part of any possible solution he is willing to support to be unnecessary,” Kerr said in a statement. “Clear-cutting is so 20th Century.”
    
Kerr also said the three environmental groups that have accepted Kitzhaber’s invitation “collectively do not have the ability to deliver the necessary critical mass of conservation community support.”
    
The stakeholders are charged with crafting a blueprint based on a proposal offered by Reps.Peter DeFazioGreg Walden and Kurt Schrader.
    
The plan would convert 1.5 million acres of Oregon and California Railroad Grant, the so-calledO&C lands, to a "public trust" that would be managed by a committee selected by the governor. The trust property would be managed for commercial purposes with some of the revenue going to counties for such critical local functions as education and law enforcement.
    
Another large parcel would be managed as a conservation area. Walden, DeFazio and Schrader say they've charted a middle course that allows additional production while also including environmental protections. Their plan also would bestow federal protection to several pristine areas in the state, including 93 miles of the Rogue River and 15 miles of the Molalla River.
    
Whatever emerges will attempt to find a new source of income that once came from commercial logging. When the amount of timber harvested plummeted, Congress approved direct payments to the counties began beginning in 2000.  Those payments end next year and if a replacement isn’t found, some counties could face bankruptcy. Congress must approve any plan, however.
    
Kerr says the plan is not balanced. 
    
“As a card-carrying conservationist, I've compromised before and will do so again,” he said in an email interview. 
    
“The federal component can involve federal public lands, but not if it involves effective privatization and industrialization such as clear-cutting,” he said.
    
Walden said in an interview Thursday that Kerr’s decision would not slow progress. DeFazio and a spokesman for Kitzhaber agreed, characterizing Kerr as a rogue actor who’s out of step with the larger conservation community.
    
“It’s time to move forward with Oregonians who want to fix this problem,” Walden said.
    
“We will work through this and I have no doubt we’ll succeed. This is just one person,” he said.
    
“Frankly, people who do not want a solution should not be at the table anyway,” DeFazio said in a statement. “It says a lot that Kerr doesn’t even want to have a conversation about this issue, unless it’s on his terms.  That’s sad.  This process demands compromise – something Kerr is apparently not interested in.”
    
Kitzhaber’s spokesman Tim Raphael said the governor is “disappointed and surprised” by Kerr’s decision, insisting that Kitzhaber is committed to properly balanced conservation and production.

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Governor asks panel to find a solution in rural Oregon: Allow more logging while protecting the environment

Governor asks panel to find a solution in rural Oregon: Allow more logging while protecting the environment

Published: Friday, September 21, 2012, 7:12 PM     Updated: Saturday, September 22, 2012, 12:42 PM






alogtruck.JPGView full sizeGov. John Kitzhaber wants an Oregon panel to figure out how to allow more logging while protecting watersheds and wildlife.
Gov. John Kitzhaber said he'll convene a panel of timber industry executives, conservation groups and hard-hit county representatives to figure out how to allow more logging on 2.6 million acres of federal land while protecting key environmental features. 

Kitzhaber said an existing proposal to revise management of what are known as the Oregon & California Railroad timberlands is doomed by opposition from conservation groups, which felt left out of a bill backed by Oregon Reps. Peter DeFazio, Kurt Schrader and Greg Walden. 

In an interview Friday in Portland, the governor said he envisions a group of 10 to 12 people who will meet weekly in October and November to craft a proposal, and will present it to the state's congressional delegation by December. He said having the presidential election settled midway through the discussions could clarify matters, such as whether Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden, a Democrat, ascends to chairmanship of the Senate's influential Energy and Natural Resources Committee. 

If ultimately approved by Congress, a deal on the O&C lands could be a first step in resolving a problem that has bedeviled rural Oregon for decades. The federal government owns 60 percent of the forestland in Oregon but now provides only 12 percent of the annual timber harvest, which generations of Oregonians depended on for jobs and funding for schools, roads and county services. 

It's crucial to find balance in natural-resource management, the governor said. 

"I think there's a larger narrative here about the future of rural America, and Oregon," Kitzhaber said. "If the message is 'we're going to write it off,' I think there's going to be a significant backlash that could do much more damage to the fabric of our environmental laws than this issue alone." 

GS.71TMBR122-02.jpgView full size
The decline of logging due to policy changes, endangered-species protection, lawsuits, recessions and other forces has greatly reduced timber revenue to a number of Oregon counties. 

Congress supplied replacement funding with the Secure Rural Schools and Community Self-Determination Actbeginning in 2000. The act was extended twice, ramped down, and a last round of emergency checks was delivered this year. In several counties, the payments provided 60 percent or more of operating budgets. 

Many have low property tax rates that aren't sufficient to pay for services, and voters have been reluctant to approve tax increases. Some counties have already reduced sheriff's patrols, let prisoners out of short-staffed jails and closed departments. 

Allowing more logging on O&C land alone won't replace the timber payments, but some believe the model might be applicable to the 12 million acres of national forests in Oregon, providing even more revenue and jobs. 

"We can't ignore what's going on out there in our rural communities," the governor said. "They want the dignity of being able to bring home a paycheck and take care of their families. That's the part I'm really concerned about." 

Reps. DeFazio, Walden and Schrader announced a plan in February to convert 1.5 million acres of O&C lands to a public trust managed by a committee appointed by the governor. The trust property would be managed for commercial purposes, with some of the revenue going to counties for education and law enforcement. 

But Kitzhaber said conservationists were prepared to dig in and fight the bill, and it probably would have been defeated in the Senate. 

The group he's convening is a "good faith effort" to broaden support, he said. 

Some observers believe the timing is right: Federal replacement payments to timber-dependent counties are ending, there is broad recognition that timber harvest targets haven't been met and conservation groups -- in the past often knee-jerk opponents of logging -- may be inclined to go along because they want to be seen as part of the solution. 

Backers believe the idea has a chance in Congress if it's backed by all groups, the congressional delegation and the governor's office. Also in its favor, it involves a limited amount of federal land in a single state and may not require additional federal funding. 

Increased logging on the O&C lands will require modified clear-cuts, sometimes called "regenerational harvesting." One of the issues to be settled, the governor said, is whether there is "social license" for clear-cutting on public land. The timber industry will need assurance that logs are put up for sale and harvested as promised. Conservationists groups will press for protection of watersheds and wildlife. 

"Both sides -- and hopefully we can get beyond sides -- both groups of interests need some certainty, I think, for this to work," Kitzhaber said. 

Friday, September 14, 2012

Plan to save Malheur Lumber Co. sawmill stems from unusual alliance


Plan to save Malheur Lumber Co. sawmill stems from unusual alliance
Published: Friday, September 14, 2012, 4:11 PM     Updated: Friday, September 14, 2012, 8:32 PM


JOHN DAY -- A new plan to keep an imperiled sawmill running and save up to 70 rural jobs emerged from work by Oregon's congressional delegation, Gov. John Kitzhaber and an improbable collection of veteran tree huggers, timber industry woods bosses, local leaders and the U.S. Forest Service. 

"Had you told me 10 years ago that I would be trying to keep a mill open in eastern Oregon, I would have said you're crazy, but things change," said Susan Jane Brown, Portland-based staff attorney for the Western Environmental Law Center. 

Timber industry
The situation in Grant County is a reminder of how far Oregon's once-booming timber industry has fallen.
Mills: Of 405 sawmills employing 45,778 Oregon workers in 1980, the state tallied only 106 mills and 15,708 workers by 2010, said Tom Partin of the American Forest Resources Council, a timber industry advocacy group.
Harvests: Since 1980, national forest timber harvests in Oregon have dropped from more than 3 billion board feet a year to about 500 million board feet a year now. On the Malheur National Forest over the same period, harvests declined from 228 million board feet to 29 million board feet, said Forest Service spokesman Tom Knappenberger.
The math: 1 million board feet equals 50 homes.
The Malheur Lumber Co. sawmill, the last one still operating in Grant County, will remain open past its planned November shutdown after the Forest Service promised to speed up timber sales and take other steps to increase forest restoration projects. 

The unlikely collaboration grew out of a growing sense that healing eastern Oregon's overgrown forests can't be done without sawmills, loggers and truck drivers to cut, remove and process logs. 

Traditional foes who have fought bitterly in the past over forest management now widely agree that eastern Oregon's unhealthy forests have become overstocked, bug-infested fuel factories for catastrophic wildfires. The status quo stems from harvest reductions designed to halt clearcutting and restore habitat and wildlife, including the northern spotted owl. Canopy closures now blot out sunlight across much of the region, reducing forage for deer, elk and ranchers' cattle. 

"We are pragmatists when it comes to restoration," said Sean Stevens, executive director of the environmental group, Oregon Wild. Loss of the 29-year-old Malheur Lumber Co. mill would be "a sad turn of events," he said. 

Grant County has even offered the federal government what may be an unprecedented deal in hopes of keeping the mill open: a proposal to loan money budgeted for county roads to the cash-strapped Forest Service to finance more restoration, thus making logs available for the mill. The Forest Service doesn't know if that's feasible.  

County landowners, at the same time, are offering to sell more private timber to the mill -- trees previously withheld from timber sales because the economic winds have blown prices into a deep hole. 

An ongoing shortage of timber from 1.7 million-acre Malheur National Forest continues to plague the mill. The local Forest Service budget has been too small to undertake forest restoration, cutting its supply. 

The mill ran out of timber for two months in spring 2011, and almost half the timber it processed last year was trucked in from Idaho, said Bruce Daucsavage of Prineville, president of the mill's corporate parent, the Ochoco Lumber Co. 

"I can sell all the pine we can possibly produce, assuming it's the right size," Daucsavage said. The mill needs 33 million board feet of pine greater than 8 inches in diameter per year to keep operating, he said. 

The new plan would direct $5 million in federal money to the Malheur forest immediately for forest restoration, including thinning and logging, brush mowing and the reintroduction of prescribed fires. The goal is to make about 60 million board feet of timber available for fiscal 2013 and 2014 on the Malheur. 

While some of that timber would be too small for the mill and much would be Douglas fir and grand fir rather than pine, that amount of cutting probably would keep the John Day sawmill operating and might even provide enough timber to reopen a Prairie Wood Products stud mill in nearby Prairie City that closed four years ago, said Grant County Commissioner Boyd Britton. 

GS.21MILL115-02.jpgView full size
"That would be the best of all worlds," Britton said Thursday. "If this is successful on the Malheur National Forest, it might be a successful model for the rest of the nation.:" 

The intervention follows work by Blue Mountains Forest Partners -- an industry-conservation-government group that formed in 2006 partly to undo damage caused by earlier mismanagement of the Malheur forest. 

"We spent a bunch of money in the 1980s building roads and harvesting very large, very valuable old-growth trees," Brown said, referring to earlier Forest Service policies. "Now we are faced with dealing with the leftovers, a fire-prone forest and the need to do necessary restoration work." 

Creating the partnership involved "a lot of time out in the field, looking at trees and talking about our feelings, which isn't easy for a lot of people," she said. A surprising level of trust was developed, she said. 

Proof: "Over the past six years, we have had no lawsuits over forest-related management," said Teresa Raaf, Malheur National Forest supervisor. 

boydbrittonJPGView full sizeJohn Day welder Boyd Britton, a Grant County commissioner, has been an outspoken advocate of saving his county̢۪s last sawmill by loaning reserve county road fund dollars to the U.S. Forest Service for forest restoration and the production of timber for the mill. Making that legal might take action by the Oregon Legislature, a Forest Service official said.
The Forest Service's mission no longer is to "get out the cut" as it was in the '80s, Raaf said. The focus now is to make it fire- and disease-resistant, with timber stands that are no longer overstocked with smaller trees, she said. 

All agree a mill shutdown would hit Grant County's 7,445 residents like a brick through a log truck window. 

Already struggling under 13.4 percent unemployment this summer, the county's population hubs at John Day and Canyon City are 80 miles from the nearest freeway, unusually remote even for eastern Oregon. Grant County is second in Oregon only to Crook County, which had a 14.1percent unemployment rate in July. The state's unemployment was 8.7 percent; and the nation's was 8.3 percent. 

The graduating class of Grant-Union Junior-Senior High School in John Day last spring was 37, down from 74 in 2010. Grant County's overall population fell 6.2 percent over the past decade. 

The loss of 70 sawmill jobs would be only the beginning of economic devastation for the area, said Thaddeus Thompson, operations manager for Chester's Thriftway in John Day, the county's biggest food store. He was braced for a 10 percent drop in food sales as residents left. 

Other retail outlets, including tire and hardware stores, expected to be equally hard-hit. Grant County Sheriff Glenn Palmer predicted an upsurge in poaching, illegal marijuana growing and firewood cutting on the national forest. 

"People are trying to make ends meet," he said. "We're already seeing people coming into town without firewood permits on their wood." 

Russ Hoeflich, Oregon director for The Nature Conservancy, credited U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden for bringing the parties together to rescue the mill, including the governor, U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley, U.S. Rep. Greg Walden, Forest Service's leaders, the Blue Mountain Partners and Grant County commissioners. 

"He found a solution that can meet the needs of Malheur Lumber, the John Day community, and in the process significantly advances the conservation needs of the Malheur National Forest," Hoeflich said. 

-- Richard Cockle